Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 21.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
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