Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.