Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest East Fife win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | East Fife |
41.55% ( 0.51) | 25% ( -0.05) | 33.44% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.81% ( 0.13) | 46.19% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% ( 0.13) | 68.49% ( -0.13) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.82% ( 0.3) | 22.18% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.41% ( 0.45) | 55.58% ( -0.45) |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% ( -0.21) | 26.56% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% ( -0.28) | 61.77% ( 0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | East Fife |
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.44% |
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