SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stranraer win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stranraer win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Edinburgh City |
52.67% ( 0.27) | 23.63% ( -0.08) | 23.7% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( 0.15) | 46.14% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( 0.14) | 68.44% ( -0.14) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( 0.16) | 17.49% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.01% ( 0.27) | 47.98% ( -0.27) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( -0.09) | 33.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( -0.1) | 70.26% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.67% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 23.7% |
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