SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 59.18%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 20.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 1-2 (5.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Vasteras SK |
59.18% ( 0.01) | 20.19% ( -0) | 20.62% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.01% ( 0.01) | 33.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.14% ( 0.01) | 55.85% ( -0) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.68% ( 0.01) | 11.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.02% ( 0.01) | 35.98% ( -0.01) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.49% ( 0) | 29.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.47% ( 0) | 65.53% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Vasteras SK |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.9% 0-0 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.02% Total : 20.62% |
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