SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Vasteras SK had a probability of 20.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.26%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Vasteras SK win was 2-1 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Malmo |
20.4% ( -0.02) | 19.28% ( 0) | 60.33% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.68% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.04) | 29.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.08% ( -0.05) | 50.92% ( 0.06) |
| Vasteras SK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.04) | 27.22% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.36% ( -0.05) | 62.63% ( 0.06) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.24% ( -0.01) | 9.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.53% ( -0.02) | 32.47% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasteras SK | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 5.23% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 20.4% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 19.28% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.26% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.22% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.51% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.28% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 3.87% Total : 60.33% |
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