Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Elfsborg
30.48% ( 0.22)	23.68% ( 0.06)	45.84% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 60.51% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.77% (

-0.16)

41.22% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.38% (

-0.16)

63.62% (

0.16)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

0.06)

25.98% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

0.09)

60.99% (

-0.09)

Elfsborg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.75% (

-0.17)

18.24% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.71% (

-0.3)

49.28% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 30.48%

Elfsborg 45.84%

Draw 23.67%

Kalmar	Draw	Elfsborg
2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.48%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.61% Total : 45.84%