SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AIK Fotboll in this match.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Elfsborg |
51.07% ( 6.28) | 23.28% ( -1.31) | 25.65% ( -4.97) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.23% ( 2.63) | 42.77% ( -2.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.83% ( 2.56) | 65.17% ( -2.56) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( 3.54) | 16.83% ( -3.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.18% ( 5.96) | 46.82% ( -5.95) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.82% ( -2.22) | 30.18% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.67% ( -2.74) | 66.34% ( 2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.85)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.87)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.97)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.62)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.61)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.3)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.29)Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.07% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.7) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.62)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.86) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -1.17)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.98)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.51)Other @ 3.06% Total : 25.65% |
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