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Europa League | League Stage
Oct 23, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Rams Global Stadium

Galatasaray
4 - 3
Elfsborg

Icardi (28'), Pettersson (39' og.), Yilmaz (44'), Akgun (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hult (52'), Baidoo (65' pen.), Larsson (90+2')
Yegbe (38'), Hult (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-3 Hacken
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Galatasaray 3-1 Elfsborg

Despite Elfsborg's good away record in the Europa League, it is difficult to see how they can avoid defeat given their poor overall form and their hosts' strong showings in recent weeks. Additionally, it would not be surprising if Galatasaray scored multiple goals considering their rampant displays this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.82%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
GalatasarayDrawElfsborg
55.23% (-0.278 -0.28) 21.5% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 23.27% (0.235 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.62% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.14% (0.062000000000005 0.06)36.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.96% (0.066000000000003 0.07)59.04% (-0.061 -0.06)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.63% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)13.37% (0.068 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.74% (-0.131 -0.13)40.26% (0.136 0.14)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.22799999999999 0.23)28.88% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (0.281 0.28)64.75% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Galatasaray 55.23%
    Elfsborg 23.27%
    Draw 21.5%
GalatasarayDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.23%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 23.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Antalyaspor 0-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, October 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: RFS 2-2 Galatasaray
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Kasimpasa
Saturday, September 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-1 PAOK
Wednesday, September 25 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-3 Hacken
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 4-1 Elfsborg
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-0 Roma
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Kalmar 1-3 Elfsborg
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AZ 3-2 Elfsborg
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Elfsborg 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, September 22 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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