SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Everton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Everton.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
41.52% ( 0.14) | 25.18% ( 0.03) | 33.3% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( -0.19) | 47.01% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( -0.18) | 69.25% ( 0.17) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( -0.02) | 22.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.86% ( -0.02) | 56.14% ( 0.02) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.2) | 27.03% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -0.26) | 62.4% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.3% |
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