SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
23.57% ( -0.71) | 25.43% ( 0.8) | 51% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.09% ( -3.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% ( -3.8) | 53.58% ( 3.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.91% ( -3.3) | 75.09% ( 3.3) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% ( -2.74) | 37.83% ( 2.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.39% ( -2.76) | 74.61% ( 2.76) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -1.55) | 21.03% ( 1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.18% ( -2.47) | 53.81% ( 2.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.57% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( 1.12)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.45)Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 12.4% ( 1.22) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.53)1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.36)0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.44% Total : 51% |
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