SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Everton had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Everton |
46.8% ( 0.07) | 22.47% ( 0.02) | 30.73% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 65.1% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.74% ( -0.13) | 35.27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.72% ( -0.14) | 57.29% ( 0.14) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( -0.02) | 15.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.46% ( -0.04) | 44.54% ( 0.04) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0.11) | 22.89% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -0.17) | 56.64% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.62% 4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.06% Total : 46.8% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.73% |
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