Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
