SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
28.95% ( 0.24) | 26.52% ( 0.03) | 44.53% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 50.26% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.78% ( -0.01) | 54.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.38% ( -0.01) | 75.62% ( 0.01) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( 0.18) | 33.66% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% ( 0.19) | 70.31% ( -0.19) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.13) | 24.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.42% ( -0.19) | 58.58% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.95% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.52% |
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