SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
45.56% ( 0.33) | 24.82% ( 0.02) | 29.61% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( -0.26) | 46.88% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.24) | 69.14% ( 0.24) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( 0.04) | 20.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.79% ( 0.06) | 53.2% ( -0.06) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% ( -0.37) | 29.39% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.62% ( -0.46) | 65.38% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.82% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.61% |
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