SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Vitebsk |
27.17% ( 0.01) | 27.08% ( 0.09) | 45.75% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.51% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.78% ( -0.3) | 57.22% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.93% ( -0.24) | 78.07% ( 0.24) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.32% ( -0.15) | 36.68% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.53% ( -0.15) | 73.47% ( 0.15) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.18) | 24.96% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( -0.25) | 59.6% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.17% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.74% |
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