Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
