Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for FC Minsk had a probability of 27.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a FC Minsk win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
