SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Vitebsk |
32.9% ( -0.71) | 25.31% ( 0.09) | 41.79% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.58) | 47.71% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( -0.54) | 69.91% ( 0.54) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -0.72) | 27.63% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.83% ( -0.94) | 63.17% ( 0.94) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( 0.05) | 22.73% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.07) | 56.4% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Vitebsk |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 41.79% |
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