SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Smorgon |
53.66% ( -1.26) | 24.05% ( 0.53) | 22.28% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -1.37) | 49.35% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -1.25) | 71.4% ( 1.25) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.98) | 18.31% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( -1.68) | 49.4% ( 1.68) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( -0.06) | 36.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.52% ( -0.07) | 73.47% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.04% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.76% Total : 22.28% |
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