SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 54.36%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.67%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Jong AZ |
54.36% ( -1.3) | 20.3% ( 0.46) | 25.34% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 68.76% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.34% ( -1.44) | 28.66% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.44% ( -1.79) | 49.56% ( 1.79) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.09% ( -0.8) | 10.91% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.93% ( -1.8) | 35.07% ( 1.79) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( -0.24) | 22.82% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.46% ( -0.36) | 56.54% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.1)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.38% Total : 54.36% | 1-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 25.34% |
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