SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Cambuur |
31.8% ( 0.73) | 22.09% ( -0.04) | 46.11% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 67.15% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.55) | 32.83% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.47% ( 0.63) | 54.53% ( -0.63) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.67) | 21.1% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( 1.03) | 53.93% ( -1.03) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( -0.03) | 14.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.75% ( -0.07) | 43.25% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.71% Total : 31.8% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 46.11% |
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