Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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