Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.62%) and 0-1 (5.27%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
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