SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
50.16% ( -0.05) | 21.69% | 28.14% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 66.18% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.91% ( 0.03) | 33.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.17% ( 0.04) | 54.82% ( -0.04) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( -0.01) | 13.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.19% ( -0.01) | 40.8% ( 0) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( 0.04) | 23.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( 0.07) | 57.34% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 28.14% |
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