Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.