SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lugano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | FC Winterthur |
59.03% ( 0.12) | 21.11% ( 0) | 19.86% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( -0.2) | 39.52% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.13% ( -0.22) | 61.86% ( 0.21) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( -0.03) | 13.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% ( -0.06) | 39.71% ( 0.05) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.53% ( -0.25) | 33.46% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.9% ( -0.27) | 70.09% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | FC Winterthur |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 59.03% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.86% |
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