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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
32.26% ( -0.16) | 24.02% ( 0.19) | 43.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.95) | 42.04% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.55% ( -0.96) | 64.44% ( 0.97) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -0.56) | 25.28% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.96% ( -0.77) | 60.04% ( 0.77) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( -0.4) | 19.45% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.7% ( -0.66) | 51.3% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Lausanne Sport |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.19% Total : 43.72% |
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