Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Gallen | Draw | FC Winterthur |
54.85% ( -0.14) | 21.27% ( 0.01) | 23.87% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 63.26% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.96% ( 0.06) | 35.04% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.96% ( 0.07) | 57.03% ( -0.08) |
St Gallen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -0.02) | 12.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.74% ( -0.04) | 39.25% ( 0.04) |
FC Winterthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.61% ( 0.13) | 27.39% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.14% ( 0.18) | 62.85% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
St Gallen | Draw | FC Winterthur |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 54.85% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 23.87% |
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