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Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Groupama Arena

Ferencvaros
6 - 1
Paksi SE

Traore (10'), Varga (19', 29', 43'), Mmaee (45+3'), Nguen (45+6')
FT(HT: 6-1)
Kovacs (35')
Kinyik (6'), Szabo (45+1')
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Ferencvaros and Paksi SE.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Zalgiris 0-4 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 24 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Ujpest
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 70.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Paksi SE had a probability of 12.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Paksi SE win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawPaksi SE
70.87% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 16.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 12.48% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.6% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (0.033999999999992 0.03)32.91% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37% (0.038000000000004 0.04)54.62% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.76% (0.013999999999996 0.01)8.24% (-0.0169 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.2% (0.039999999999992 0.04)28.8% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Paksi SE Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.32% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.92% (-0.004999999999999 -0)75.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 70.87%
    Paksi SE 12.48%
    Draw 16.64%
FerencvarosDrawPaksi SE
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 5.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-0 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.87%
1-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.64%
1-2 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 12.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Zalgiris 0-4 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 24 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-2 Puskas Academy
Sunday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 1-6 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fehervar 3-5 Ferencvaros
Sunday, August 6 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Paksi SE 3-0 Ujpest
Saturday, August 19 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Diosgyor 1-1 Paksi SE
Saturday, August 12 at 7.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 1-1 Paksi SE
Friday, July 28 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I


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