Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.