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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Groupama Arena

Ferencvaros
2 - 1
Hamrun Spartans

Traore (41'), Varga (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbong (6')
Mbong (26'), Bjelicic (55'), Corbalan (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Ferencvaros and Hamrun Spartans.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 1-6 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ferencvaros63.00Lisztes
2Puskas Academy62.00Colley
3Ujpest62.00Ljujic
4Diosgyor51.67Edomwonyi
5Debrecen42.00Loncar
6Fehervar41.33Kodro
7Kecskemeti TE42.00Szalai
8Mezokovesdi41.33Drazic
9Varda SE31.00Mesanovic
10MTK20.67Nemeth
11Paksi SE21.00Bode
12Zalaegerszegi TE20.67Sajban

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Hamrun Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawHamrun Spartans
59.57% (1.584 1.58) 22.2% (-0.503 -0.5) 18.22% (-1.086 -1.09)
Both teams to score 51.2% (-0.328 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (0.529 0.53)46.89% (-0.533 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (0.493 0.49)69.14% (-0.497 -0.5)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65% (0.709 0.71)15.35% (-0.713 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.88% (1.318 1.32)44.12% (-1.321 -1.32)
Hamrun Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-0.905 -0.91)39.52% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-0.851 -0.85)76.21% (0.84699999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 59.56%
    Hamrun Spartans 18.22%
    Draw 22.2%
FerencvarosDrawHamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 11.36% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.65% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.332 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.18% (0.163 0.16)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.227 0.23)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.144 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.036 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.111 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.09% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 59.56%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 6.07% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 4.9% (-0.236 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 18.22%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-2 Puskas Academy
Sunday, August 13 at 5.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 1-6 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Fehervar 3-5 Ferencvaros
Sunday, August 6 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Shamrock 0-2 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 4-0 Shamrock
Thursday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ferencvaros 0-3 KI
Wednesday, July 19 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 1-6 Ferencvaros
Thursday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-1 Hamrun Spartans
Tuesday, July 18 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 0-4 Maccabi Haifa
Tuesday, July 11 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 3-3 Partizan
Thursday, August 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League


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