Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
