SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Groningen win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
64.26% ( -0.09) | 19.56% ( 0.03) | 16.18% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.4% ( 0.01) | 38.6% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.1% ( 0.01) | 60.9% ( -0.01) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% ( -0.02) | 11.35% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.95% ( -0.04) | 36.05% ( 0.04) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( 0.09) | 36.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.25% ( 0.08) | 73.75% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Groningen |
| 2-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.26% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.56% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 16.18% |
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