SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
42.33% ( 0.69) | 23.04% ( -0.57) | 34.63% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 64.68% ( 2.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.5% ( 2.81) | 36.51% ( -2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.35% ( 3) | 58.65% ( -2.99) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 1.46) | 17.78% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( 2.45) | 48.48% ( -2.45) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.67% ( 1.24) | 21.34% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.71% ( 1.87) | 54.29% ( -1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.6)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.95% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.22)0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.6)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.14)Other @ 3.7% Total : 34.63% |
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