SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
23.51% ( -0.46) | 24.05% ( 0.11) | 52.43% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( -0.9) | 48.13% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.83) | 70.29% ( 0.82) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.12% ( -0.9) | 34.87% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.39% ( -0.95) | 71.6% ( 0.95) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( -0.21) | 18.32% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.58% ( -0.35) | 49.42% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Eindhoven | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.51% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.36% Total : 52.43% |
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