SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
52.05% ( -0.04) | 22.72% ( 0.07) | 25.23% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.59% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( -0.37) | 40.56% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.06% ( -0.38) | 62.94% ( 0.38) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.32% ( -0.14) | 15.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.27% ( -0.27) | 44.73% ( 0.27) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.22) | 29.33% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( -0.28) | 65.3% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 52.05% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 25.23% |
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