SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 11.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Jong AZ |
72.17% ( 0.02) | 16.28% ( -0.01) | 11.55% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0.02) | 33.71% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.46% ( 0.02) | 55.54% ( -0.03) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.84% ( 0) | 8.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.39% ( 0.02) | 28.61% ( -0.02) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.01) | 40.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% ( -0.01) | 76.97% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Jong AZ |
| 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.64% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.56% 5-0 @ 2.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 72.16% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.28% | 1-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.55% |
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