SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Haugesund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Kristiansund |
44.63% ( 0.23) | 24.06% ( 0.02) | 31.31% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.39% ( -0.21) | 42.61% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.99% ( -0.21) | 65.01% ( 0.21) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.7% ( 0.02) | 19.3% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.95% ( 0.02) | 51.04% ( -0.02) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( -0.26) | 26.13% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.79% ( -0.35) | 61.2% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 44.63% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.31% |
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