Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.