SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 59.61%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 20.3% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8%) and 1-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | Kristiansund |
59.61% ( -1.05) | 20.09% ( 0.35) | 20.3% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 62.34% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.02% ( -0.61) | 33.97% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.16% ( -0.7) | 55.83% ( 0.7) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.8% ( -0.46) | 11.2% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.28% ( -1.01) | 35.72% ( 1.01) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.29) | 29.8% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.12% ( 0.35) | 65.87% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 59.61% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.94% Total : 20.3% |
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