SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FK Haugesund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FK Haugesund.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sandefjord |
46.28% ( 0.26) | 23.49% ( -0.07) | 30.23% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.03% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.52% ( 0.2) | 40.48% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% ( 0.21) | 62.85% ( -0.21) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 0.18) | 17.77% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.52% ( 0.31) | 48.48% ( -0.32) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.22% ( -0.02) | 25.77% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% ( -0.03) | 60.71% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Sandefjord |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.81% Total : 46.28% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.23% |
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