SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Belgium |
51.58% ( -0.5) | 25.55% ( 0.3) | 22.88% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( -0.96) | 54.63% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( -0.8) | 75.97% ( 0.8) |
| France Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.79% ( -0.59) | 21.21% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.9% ( -0.93) | 54.1% ( 0.93) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.92% ( -0.35) | 39.08% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.2% ( -0.33) | 75.79% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| France | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.26% Total : 51.57% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
