Belgium
2 - 3
France

Carrasco (37'), Lukaku (40')
Vertonghen (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benzema (62'), Mbappe (69' pen.), Hernandez (90')

Preview

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for France had a probability of 38.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.93%) and 3-2 (4.6%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Belgium	Draw	France
39.9%	21.41%	38.7%

Both teams to score 71.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.49%

27.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.88%

48.13%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52%

43.48%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53%

15.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.65%

44.35%

Score Analysis

Belgium 39.9%

France 38.7%

Draw 21.41%

Belgium	Draw	France
2-1 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 4.6% 1-0 @ 4.41% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 2.18% 4-3 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.24% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 7.27% 3-3 @ 2.86% 0-0 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 4.52% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.11% 3-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 4% Total : 38.7%