Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for France had a probability of 38.7% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (4.93%) and 3-2 (4.6%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Belgium | Draw | France |
39.9% | 21.41% | 38.7% |
Both teams to score 71.84% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.49% | 27.51% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.88% | 48.13% |
Belgium Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% | 15.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% | 43.48% |
France Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.53% | 15.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.65% | 44.35% |
Score Analysis |
Belgium | Draw | France |
2-1 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 4.6% 1-0 @ 4.41% 2-0 @ 4.18% 3-0 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 2.18% 4-3 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 4.24% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 8.22% 2-2 @ 7.27% 3-3 @ 2.86% 0-0 @ 2.32% Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.41% | 1-2 @ 7.67% 1-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 4.52% 0-1 @ 4.34% 0-2 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.11% 3-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 4% Total : 38.7% |
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