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Friendlies 1
Jun 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Roi Baudouin
LN

Belgium
3 - 0
Luxembourg

Lukaku (43' pen., 57'), Trossard (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dzogovic (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: France 3-0 Luxembourg
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Belgium 4-0 Luxembourg

With Tedesco naturally wanting to step up the sharpness of some of his players, this could end up being one-way traffic. Luxembourg have their own qualities, yet they may struggle to withstand Belgium's attacking flair on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 91.77%. A draw had a probability of 6.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 1.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 4-0 (12.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.97%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (0.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Belgium in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Belgium.

Result
BelgiumDrawLuxembourg
91.77% (1.546 1.55) 6.33% (-0.995 -1) 1.9% (-0.551 -0.55)
Both teams to score 31.61% (-2.857 -2.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.45% (1.282 1.28)26.55% (-1.283 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.09% (1.619 1.62)46.91% (-1.617 -1.62)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.75% (0.437 0.44)3.25% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.6% (1.469 1.47)14.39% (-1.47 -1.47)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.67% (-3.113 -3.11)67.33% (3.115 3.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.04% (-1.3039 -1.3)93.96% (1.304 1.3)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 91.76%
    Luxembourg 1.9%
    Draw 6.33%
BelgiumDrawLuxembourg
3-0 @ 14.67% (0.49 0.49)
2-0 @ 12.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
4-0 @ 12.56% (0.86 0.86)
5-0 @ 8.61% (0.888 0.89)
1-0 @ 7.5% (-0.316 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 5.08% (-0.63 -0.63)
4-1 @ 4.97% (-0.212 -0.21)
6-0 @ 4.92% (0.669 0.67)
5-1 @ 3.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
7-0 @ 2.41% (0.404 0.4)
6-1 @ 1.95% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.244 -0.24)
8-0 @ 1.03% (0.204 0.2)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.165 -0.17)
7-1 @ 0.95% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 91.76%
1-1 @ 2.97% (-0.496 -0.5)
0-0 @ 2.19% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-2 @ 1.01% (-0.26 -0.26)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 6.33%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 1.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 2-2 Belgium
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-0 Belgium
Saturday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 1-0 Serbia
Wednesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 1-1 Sweden
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 3-0 Luxembourg
Wednesday, June 5 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-1 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-1 Luxembourg
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Luxembourg 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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