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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
RN

Belgium
2 - 0
Romania

Tielemans (2'), De Bruyne (80')
Lukebakio (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bancu (59'), Marin (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in European Championship
All competitions
European Championship
Last Game: Romania 3-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 17 at 2pm in European Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Romania had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Romania win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
BelgiumDrawRomania
45.7% (0.126 0.13) 27.05% (0.032 0.03) 27.25% (-0.158 -0.16)
Both teams to score 47.67% (-0.195 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95% (-0.199 -0.2)57.04% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.07% (-0.159 -0.16)77.93% (0.16 0.16)
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.09% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)24.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.47% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)59.53% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.48% (-0.236 -0.24)36.52% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.69% (-0.24 -0.24)73.31% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Belgium 45.7%
    Romania 27.25%
    Draw 27.04%
BelgiumDrawRomania
1-0 @ 12.64% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.79% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 45.7%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 9.1% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.16% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 27.25%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Belgium 0-1 Slovakia
Monday, June 17 at 5pm in European Championship
Last Game: Belgium 3-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, June 8 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 2-0 Montenegro
Wednesday, June 5 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England 2-2 Belgium
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-0 Belgium
Saturday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Azerbaijan
Sunday, November 19 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Romania 3-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 17 at 2pm in European Championship
Last Game: Romania 0-0 Liechtenstein
Friday, June 7 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 0-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, June 4 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 3-2 Romania
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 1-1 N. Ireland
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 1-0 Switzerland
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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