SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
46.18% ( 1.64) | 23.57% ( -0.24) | 30.25% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 60.77% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0.46) | 40.83% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( 0.47) | 63.22% ( -0.47) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( 0.85) | 17.95% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( 1.44) | 48.79% ( -1.44) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( -0.65) | 25.93% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( -0.88) | 60.93% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fylde | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 30.25% |
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