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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
61.07% ( 4.58) | 21.61% ( -1.4) | 17.32% ( -3.18) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( 1.31) | 45.79% ( -1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( 1.23) | 68.11% ( -1.22) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( 1.96) | 14.51% ( -1.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% ( 3.66) | 42.51% ( -3.66) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( -2.76) | 39.93% ( 2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.41% ( -2.63) | 76.59% ( 2.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.83)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.96)3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.45)4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.65)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.32)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.6% Total : 61.06% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.66) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.33)Other @ 1% Total : 21.6% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.74) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.7)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.02% Total : 17.32% |
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