SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| GAIS | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
52.12% ( -0.21) | 23.48% ( -0.04) | 24.4% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( 0.41) | 44.77% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% ( 0.39) | 67.13% ( -0.39) |
| GAIS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( 0.07) | 17.19% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.55% ( 0.13) | 47.45% ( -0.13) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.74% ( 0.42) | 32.26% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.24% ( 0.48) | 68.76% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| GAIS | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.89% Total : 52.12% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 24.4% |
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