SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Kalmar |
46.36% ( -0.05) | 24.46% ( 0.01) | 29.17% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.47% ( -0.01) | 45.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.14% ( -0) | 67.85% ( 0.01) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( -0.02) | 19.74% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.23% ( -0.04) | 51.77% ( 0.04) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 0.03) | 29.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.09% ( 0.03) | 64.91% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Kalmar |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3% Total : 46.36% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.17% |
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